Objective: To investigate the prognostic value of prostatic tumour cell proliferation, as measured by Ki-67 and proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA), and to compare these measures in men at low and high risk for progression of tumour.
Patients and methods: Two groups of patients with prostate cancer, i.e. 'metastatic' (M, 22) who had pT3b-4aN0M0 and pTanyN1M0, and 'nonmetastatic' (NM, 18), who had < or =pT3aN0M0 disease, were selected from a well-examined and mapped group of 114 treated by radical prostatectomy. Patients in the NM group were selected by the criteria of having a Gleason score of < or = 7. To assess proliferation, 1000 cells were counted at x 400 magnification by two observers and the percentage of tumour cells positively stained with Ki-67 and PCNA defined as the Ki-67 and PCNA labelling index (LI), respectively. The two LI were compared in the NM and M groups, and the correlation of the LIs with pathological stage, progression and prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-free survival evaluated. Prognostic values of the LI were analysed using multivariate analysis.
Results: The mean (range) follow-up was 33 (4-78) months. The mean LIs were higher in the M than the NM group for both PCNA and Ki-67 (P = 0.02 and 0.019, respectively). Both LIs were markedly different between the groups when stratified by progression, with both significantly higher in men with progression in the NM group. Both LIs had a significant association with Gleason score, pathological stage, progression and PSA-free survival. In multivariate analysis the PCNA LI, surgical margin status and pathological stage were independent factors for progression.
Conclusion: Tumour cell proliferation as assessed by Ki-67 or PCNA correlate significantly with progression. The PCNA LI was an independent predictor of progression, especially in patients with a low risk of progression according to predefined criteria.