Risk and prediction of dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation--a nationwide population-based cohort study

Int J Cardiol. 2015 Nov 15:199:25-30. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.06.170. Epub 2015 Jul 6.

Abstract

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of cognitive impairment and functional decline, and may contribute to development of dementia.

Objectives: Data from a nationwide large-scale population-based cohort study are lacking. Besides, how best to predict the occurrence of incident dementia among AF subjects remains uncertain.

Methods: A total of 332,665 AF subjects without dementia were identified as the study group from the "National Health Insurance Research Database" in Taiwan. For each study patient, one age- and sex-matched subject without AF and dementia was selected as the control group. The study end point was occurrence of dementia, and the usefulness of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores in predicting dementia was analyzed.

Results: During the follow-up, 29,012 AF patients experienced dementia with an annual incidence of 2.12%, higher than non-AF subjects (1.50%). Patients with AF possessed a higher risk of dementia with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.420 after adjustments for age, gender, baseline differences and medication use. Among AF patients, the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were significant predictors of dementia with an adjusted HR of 1.520 and 1.497 per 1 increment of the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, respectively. The c-index for CHA2DS2-VASc in predicting dementia (0.611, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.608-0.614) was significantly higher than the CHADS2 score (0.589, 95% CI=0.586-0.592) (DeLong test p<0.001).

Conclusions: In this nationwide cohort study, AF was independently associated with a higher risk of dementia. The CHA2DS2-VASc score can be used to estimate the risk of dementia in AF patients.

Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score; CHADS(2) score; Dementia.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Atrial Fibrillation / complications*
  • Atrial Fibrillation / psychology
  • Cognition / physiology*
  • Dementia / diagnosis
  • Dementia / epidemiology*
  • Dementia / etiology
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Population Surveillance / methods*
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors
  • Taiwan / epidemiology
  • Time Factors