Climatic water availability is the main limiting factor of biotic attributes across large-scale elevational gradients in tropical forests

Climatic water availability is a key spatial driver of species distribution patterns in natural forests. Yet, we do not fully understand the importance of climatic water availability relative to temperature, and climate relative to edaphic factors for multiple biotic attributes across large-scale elevational gradients in natural forests. Here, we modelled multiple abiotic factors (elevation, climate, and edaphic factors) with each of the taxonomic-related (Shannon's species diversity, species richness, species evenness, and Simpson's dominance) and tree size or biomass-related (individual tree size variation, functional dominance and divergence, and aboveground biomass) biotic attributes through boosted regression trees (BRT) models, using biophysical data from 247,691 trees across 907 plots in tropical forests in Hainan Island of Southern China. The tested multiple abiotic factors explained simultaneously 43, 50, 36, 45, 37, 50, 17 and 46%, respectively, of the variations in Shannon's species diversity, species richness, species evenness, Simpson's dominance, individual tree size variation, functional dominance, functional divergence and aboveground biomass. After the large influences of elevation (i.e. 30.43 to 62.83%), climatic water availability accounted for most (i.e. 15.52 to 25.30%) of the variations in all biotic attributes. Beside the increasing trend with elevational gradients, taxonomic diversity increased strongly with climatic water availability whereas tree size or biomass-related biotic attributes showed strong decreasing and increasing trends. Tree size or biomass-related rather than taxonomic-related biotic attributes also decreased apparently with mean annual temperature. Most of the biotic attributes monotonically increased with soil fertility but decreased with soil pH, whereas soil textural properties had mostly negligible influences. This study strongly reveals that future climate change (i.e. a decrease in climatic water availability with an increase in mean annual temperature) is thus likely to have a substantial influence on the biotic attributes in the studied tropical forests across large-scale elevational gradients.