The PHASES score: To treat or not to treat? Retrospective evaluation of the risk of rupture of intracranial aneurysms in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

J Neuroradiol. 2020 Sep;47(5):349-352. doi: 10.1016/j.neurad.2019.06.003. Epub 2019 Aug 7.

Abstract

Background and purpose: The PHASES score was formulated to predict the 5-year risk of rupture for intracranial aneurysms. We retrospectively analyzed all patients treated in our institution for aneurysmal SAH and applied the PHASES score to estimate the probable predicted risk of bleeding in this group of patients.

Methods: Between February 2015 and August 2018, all patients with aneurysmal SAH were retrospectively analyzed and the PHASES score was applied. A total of 155 patients were included with a mean age of 53.8years, including 60 males and 95 females.

Results: Of our patients 110 (70.9%) had a PHASES score of below or equal to 5, with a hemorrhagic risk of up to 1.3% over 5years. If we analyze the patients with a risk of below 2% this figure increases to 122 patients (78.7%). Of these 99.3% were European and 0.6% were Japanese (1 patient). In 86 patients (55.4%), the aneurysm was smaller than 5mm and in 10 patients (6.4%) the aneurysm was located in the posterior circulation.

Conclusion: Of our patients 78.7% had less than a 2% 5-year rupture risk based on their PHASES score, highlighting the discrepancy of the rupture risk calculated with the PHASES score when hypothetically applied to this group of patients. In the hypothetical scenario that our patients had unruptured aneurysms, our retrospective analysis shows that the PHASES score may only provide a weak tool for clinicians to use in the decision-making process as to whether or not to treat these aneurysms.

Keywords: Intracranial aneurysms; Risk of rupture; Subarachnoid hemorrhage; Unruptured aneurysm.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Aneurysm, Ruptured / etiology*
  • Aneurysm, Ruptured / therapy*
  • Decision Making
  • Europe
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Intracranial Aneurysm / complications*
  • Intracranial Aneurysm / therapy*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors
  • Subarachnoid Hemorrhage / etiology*
  • Subarachnoid Hemorrhage / therapy*