Reflections on the impact of "flatten the curve" on interdependent workforce sectors

Environ Syst Decis. 2020;40(2):185-188. doi: 10.1007/s10669-020-09774-z. Epub 2020 May 14.

Abstract

The expression "flatten the curve" has gained significant attention in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. The idea is to decrease and/or delay the peak of an epidemic wave so as not to strain or exceed the capacity of healthcare systems. There has been an increasing number of policy recommendations across the globe that favor the use of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to flatten the curve. NPIs encompass containment, suppression, and mitigation measures such as quarantine, travel restrictions, and business closures. This paper provides perspectives on the impact of containment, suppression, and mitigation measures on interdependent workforce sectors. Reflections on the trade-offs between flattening the curve versus personal liberty and socioeconomic disparities are also presented in this paper.

Keywords: COVID-19; Coronavirus; Disaster risk management; Input–output model; Pandemic; Workforce.