Drought analysis with different indices for the Asi Basin (Turkey)

Sci Rep. 2020 Nov 26;10(1):20739. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-77827-z.

Abstract

Today, within the scope of planning, development and management of water resources affected adversely by climate change, the issue of minimization of the adverse effects of drought has become very important. In this study, drought risk analyses were performed using meteorological, hydrogeological and hydrological data of the Asi basin and as a result of the determination of different indices and indicators available in the literature. First, the missing data was completed by regional analyses. The DI (Deciles Index), SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index), SPEI (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index) and SRI (Standardized Runoff Index) indices were described. Drought severity and magnitude were found according to these indices. Based on 1, 3, 6, 9, 12, 48-month recurrence intervals, analyses were made. Classification of droughts and their threshold values were determined. For some places, drought incidence rates were presented according to each index. The indices were compared, the correlation between them was examined and a common conclusion was reached. The drought severities, which has a precipitation area of 7800 m2, were evaluated for certain recurrence intervals. For this purpose, based on meteorological, hydrological and hydrogeological data for the years between 1970 and 2016, DI, SPI, SPEI, and SRI indices were analyzed and compared.