Hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis: HCC and Steatosis or Steatohepatitis

Background and aims: Hepatic steatosis of nonalcoholic etiology (nonalcoholic fatty liver disease; NAFLD) is an emergent condition that may lead to hepatic cirrhosis and finally to liver cancer. We evaluate the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and quantify the prognosis in terms of recurrence (DFS) as well as HCC-specific and overall survival (CSS and OS) of patients with and without NAFLD.

Methods: We searched published articles that evaluated the risk and outcomes of HCC in patients with steatosis/steatohepatitis from inception to July 2021 were identified by searching the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases. Prospective cohort, case-control, or retrospective studies were selected that were published in English and provided incidence and survival rates of HCC patients with NAFLD. A random-effects model was created to estimate the pooled effect size. The primary outcome of interest was HCC incidence. The secondary endpoints were DFS, CSS, and OS.

Results: In total, 948 217 patients with NAFLD were analyzed, from n = 103 observational studies. NAFLD significantly increased the risk of HCC (HR = 1.88 [95% CI, 1.46-2.42]; P < .01] but not risk of recurrence (HR = 0.99 [95% CI, 0.85-1.15]; P = .9) or overall mortality (HR = 1.04 [95% CI, 0.88-1.24]; P = 0.64). Conversely, NAFLD increased HCC-related mortality risk (HR = 2.16 [95% CI, 0.85-5.5]; P = .1). Risk of HCC was increased in Western countries but not in Asian countries.

Conclusions: Patients with NAFLD have an increased risk of HCC as compared to patients without NAFLD. NAFLD also increases liver cancer (HCC) mortality. These results justify applying general measures to patients with proven NAFLD and monitoring patients with NASH and fibrosis.